Fresno State at Boise State ... - Sports Betting Stats

4 Roud Mock (With some trades)

A big project here that has been underway for a bit, with some tweaking as needed.
I only made trades in the first round. Any trades you see are reflective of first round deals. There's usually a handful of them, so I tried to really push for trades, rather than a take a less realistic approach to it and be super conservative about. Additionally, I added a few 3rd round compensatory picks, based on the projections from over the cap.

FIRST ROUND

1.1 - Cincinnati Bengals - QB Joe Burrow (LSU). Don't need too much explanation here. Burrow is the best QB in this draft, perhaps even the best player, given how Chase Young was a bit quiet against Michigan & Clemson. Bringing him back to Ohio is too good.
1.2 - Washington Redskins - EDGE Chase Young (Ohio State). Another very easy pick, as Young has the potential to step into the NFL as a game changer from the first snap. Explosive, smart, and incredible hands, he has franchise changing potential.
1.3 - TRADE: Los Angeles Chargers - QB Tua Tagavailoa (Alabama). Miami could perhaps outbid the Chargers, but I don't see Miami wanting to give up too much of their stockpile for one player, especially given how many needs the Dolphins have. Thus, their #6 pick, a 3rd, and a 2021 1st round pick to Detroit for LAC to get a QB who could get them back to the playoffs immediately.
1.4 - New York Giants - OT Andrew Thomas (Georgia). This feels like such a good fit. Thomas is incredibly powerful, and fits the MO of the Giants well, building a powerful run game behind Saquon Barkley.
1.5 - Miami Dolphins - QB Justin Herbert (Oregon). According to reports, the Dolphins have done the most work on Herbert, and with the Chargers jumping up for Tua, the Dolphins choose to tap Herbert as their new starting QB, and hopefully fill out the rest of their needs with their massive stockpile of picks.
1.6 TRADE: Detroit Lions - DT Derrick Brown (Auburn). The Lions move back and still have their pick of Brown or Okudah, the two most popular names here. Ultimately, I went with Brown, as Brown can solve both their struggles stopping the run, and provide an interior pass rush.
1.7 Carolina Panthers - CB Jeff Okudah (Ohio State). The Panthers are probably hoping to get Brown, as his explosiveness is unreal, but Okudah could be an excellent piece to Matt Rhule's new defense, with his lockdown coverage ability.
1.8 TRADE: New York Jets - OT Tristan Wirfs (Iowa). As the Cardinals debate OL vs. WR, the Jets ensure they land a top OT by offering them their 3rd round pick and a future 6th round pick. The Cardinals accept, and the Jets get Sam Darnold some much needed protection.
1.9 Jacksonville Jaguars - WR Jerry Jeudy (Alabama). A great spot for the Jaguars, as Jeudy is arguably the best player left on the board, and also fills a big need for an offensive playmaker. Whether Nick Foles or Gardner Minshew starts for the Jags next season, Jeudy will make their lives easier.
1.10 Cleveland Browns - OT Jedrick Wills (Alabama). With Cleveland a sure bet to take a tackle, the Jets hopped them to get their choice. The Browns still take Wills, who has the athleticism to play either side, but either way is a big upgrade for Cleveland, as they attempt to rebuild their offensive line.
1.11 TRADE: Arizona Cardinals - WR CeeDee Lamb (Oklahoma). With their decision now made for them, the Cardinals take perhaps the biggest playmaker on the board. Lamb is an exceptional fit for Kingsbury's passing attack, and he should give them a replacement for Larry Fitzgerald, whenever he chooses to retire.
1.12 Las Vegas Raiders - LB/S Isaiah Simmons (Clemson). With a big need to improve the speed of their LB spot, the Raiders take Simmons, which also fits nicely with Mayhew's affinity for Clemson players. Simmons' versatility is perhaps the best among any player in this draft.
1.13 TRADE: Philadelphia Eagles - CB Kristian Fulton (LSU). With teams like Dallas, Jacksonville, and Miami ahead of them, the Eagles act promptly to get the cornerback of their choosing. Sending their 2nd round pick and a 2021 day three pick to Indy, the Eagles land an elite cover corner in Fulton.
1.14 Tampa Bay Buccaneers - DT Javon Kinlaw (South Carolina). With the top 3 quarterbacks gone, the Bucs opt to do the smart thing, and take the disruptive DT from South Carolina. If they retain Barrett, this could be quite the deadly pass rush next season.
1.15 Denver Broncos - WR Henry Ruggs III (Alabama). The Broncos could use some speed to compliment Courtland Sutton at WR. Pairing the two of them should give second-year QB Drew Lock a promising group of pass catchers, as he attempts to bring the Broncos back to the playoffs.
1.16 Atlanta Falcons - EDGE A.J. Epenesa (Iowa). Almost too good to be true for the Falcons, as they get the second best pass rusher at 16 without having to move up. Thankfully the board falls well to them, and Epenesa gives them a powerful pass rushing presence to boost their DL.
1.17 Dallas Cowboys - S Grant Delpit (LSU). This pick seems almost too trendy, but that's because it's just a fantastic fit. Delpit's stock dropped a bit due to some poor tackling, but his ability to make plays all around the field is still unmatched at the safety position. A great fit in Dallas.
1.18 Miami Dolphins (via PIT) - OT Mekhi Becton (Louisville). The next tackle off the board comes to Miami, as the Dolphins need to rebuild this unit in a massive way. And what better way than to add a massive pass protector like Becton, who can keep Herbert clean for years to come.
1.19 Las Vegas Raiders (via CHI) - WR Tee Higgins. Wouldn't it be nice to grab a QB here Bears fans? Instead, the Raiders add a weapon on the outside in Higgins, whose elite body control allows him to come down with some insane catches. He gives the Raiders the outside weapon they're searching for.
1.20 Jacksonville Jaguars (via LAR) - CB Trevon Diggs (Alabama). The Jaguars could use a corner to play across from Bouye, and Diggs has elite size, and the ability to be a stud for them.
1.21 TRADE: Indianapolis Colts - EDGE Yetur Gross-Matos (Penn State). I'd love to see the Colts target Arik Armstead in free agency to improve their pass rush, but if they don't, grabbing a high potential pass rusher like YGM would be an excellent move, especially after trading back for more picks.
1.22 Buffalo Bills - WR Laviska Shenault (Colorado). Shenault can make plays in so many different ways. He'd give OC Brian Daboll and QB Josh Allen a major boost with his play making.
1.23 New England Patriots - EDGE K'Lavon Chaisson (LSU). The Patriots would be best not using this on a tight end, as they are slow developers in their first seasons. Instead, go sign Hunter Henry, and then draft a pass rusher like Chaisson to help your defense continue to disrupt opposing offenses.
1.24 New Orleans Saints - LB Kenneth Murray (Oklahoma). The Saints could use some help in the middle of their defense, and Murray can make plays from sideline to sideline, a very well-rounded player.
1.25 Minnesota Vikings - CB C.J. Henderson (Florida). Death, taxes, Vikings drafting 1st round corners. Though this time, the need for one is very clear, given the potential exodus of corners they could have in free agency. Henderson has the ability to be a lockdown corner in Mike Zimmer's defense.
1.26 Miami Dolphins (via HOU) - RB D'Andre Swift (Georgia). Fans usually hate running backs in the first round, but the value of Swift here, compared to reaching on a pass rusher or guard here, is fantastic. He's a dynamic back, with play making ability both as a runner and as a pass catcher.
1.27 TRADE: Tennessee Titans - EDGE Curtis Weaver (Boise State) - The Titans hop ahead of the Ravens, landing the pass rushing OLB of their choice in Weaver. A strong pass rusher with plenty of moves, he and Harold Landry would form a scary good young duo in Tennessee.
1.28 Baltimore Ravens - WR Justin Jefferson (LSU) - Rather than reach for an edge rusher, the Ravens add Jefferson, whose electrifying season was a big part of why LSU are the national champions. He can help Lamar Jackson in a lot of ways, and is a pretty willing blocker in the run game.
1.29 TRADE: Seattle Seahawks - OT Lucas Niang (TCU) - Picking up a 2021 3rd round pick to swap with the Titans, the Seahawks use this pick to grab Niang, and give Russell Wilson some more protection, an upgrade over Ifedi in Seattle.
1.30 Green Bay Packers - WR Jalen Reagor (TCU) - Back to back Horned Frogs at the end of the first round, as the Packers add a big time weapon to their offense. Reagor's ability to take the top off of defenses would be a huge boost for Rodgers.
1.31 Kansas City Chiefs - RB Travis Etienne (Clemson) - Wanted to give the Chiefs some defensive help, but nothing stood out as a great fit. Instead, the Chiefs take the best player left on the board in Etienne, and continue to add elite weapons to an already dangerous offense.
1.32 TRADE: Carolina Panthers - QB Jordan Love (Utah State). The 49ers are low on picks in this draft, so a trade back to replenish their ammo would be great. And the Panthers land themselves Love, who can develop under Rhule and new Panthers OC Joe Brady, sending a 4th and a 7th round pick to the 49ers in return.

SECOND ROUND

2.1 Cincinnati Bengals - OT Josh Jones (Houston). Now that they have their franchise QB, they need to protect their franchise QB. With Jonah Williams added in last year, the Bengals add a long, athletic pass protector in Jones.
2.2 Indianapolis Colts (via WAS) - WR K.J. Hamler (Penn State). The Colts used their first pick to add defensive help, and now this pick turns into the speedy Hamler to help the offense.
2.3 Detroit Lions - CB A.J. Terrell (Clemson). After taking a DT in the first round, the Lions land a great fit in Terrell to give them some needed cornerback help.
2.4 New York Giants - EDGE Zack Baun (Wisconsin). Continuing to build the team from the inside out, the Giants add an excellent pass rusher in Baun, who has risen immensely since last season.
2.5 Los Angeles Chargers - OT Austin Jackson (USC). Like the Bengals, the Chargers need to find protection for their new signal caller, and this comes in the local product out of USC.
2.6 TRADE: San Francisco 49ers - CB Jeff Gladney (TCU). After moving out of the first round, the 49ers add extra picks and now select a cornerback to boost their outstanding defense.
2.7 Miami Dolphins - G Soloman Kindley (Georgia). Miami needs to take multiple offensive linemen in the first two days of the draft, and they so here with a strong interior guard in Kindley.
2.8 Arizona Cardinals - DT Raekwon Davis (Alabama). After adding CeeDee Lamb in the first, the Cardinals add a long, powerful DT to give a boost to their defense, rather than reach on OL here.
2.9 Cleveland Browns - S Xavier McKinney (Alabama). The Browns should have plenty of opportunities to fill their biggest needs with elite prospects, and they do exactly that by adding McKinney here.
2.10 Jacksonville Jaguars - RB Jonathan Taylor (Wisconsin). The theme here is continuing to add weapons to this offense, and Taylor can be a big boost either in tangent with Fournette, or as a pass catcher out of the backfield.
2.11 Chicago Bears (via LVR) - G/C Tyler Biadasz (Wisconsin). Back to back Badgers, as the Bears add some much needed help on the OL in Biadasz, who can easily slide to guard alongside Daniels.
2.12 Indianapolis Colts - QB Jacob Eason (Washington). The Colts may have waited a bit, but they do add a QB with immense potential in the strong armed-Eason. A season behind Brissett could do him wonders.
2.13 Tampa Bay Buccaneers - OT Prince Tega Wanogho (Auburn). The Bucs find themselves a pass protector, and PTW may have the highest ceiling out of all these guys due to his immense athleticism.
2.14 Denver Broncos - OT Isaiah Wilson (Georgia). The Broncos too need to find some help at OT, and they get that with Wilson, another incredibly athletic SEC pass protector.
2.15 Atlanta Falcons - DT Neville Gallimore (Oklahoma). Didn't like a fit for any corners here, so the Falcons take Gallimore and provide a boost to their defensive line.
2.16 New York Jets - EDGE Terrell Lewis (Alabama). In need of pass rushers as well, the Jets take a chance on Lewis, who has immense potential, but has dealt with some injuries.
2.17 Pittsburgh Steelers - EDGE Julian Okwara (Notre Dame). The Steelers enter the draft, and they pick Notre Dame's top edge rusher, a crafty and surprisingly strong pass rusher.
2.18 Chicago Bears - TE Cole Kmet (Notre Dame). The first tight end off the board is Kmet, who will provide Trubisky another weapon in hopes that he can get things figured out.
2.19 Dallas Cowboys - DT Justin Madibuike (Texas A&M). The Cowboys first two picks gives them two impact defenders to help straighten out their defense.
2.20 Los Angeles Rams - OT Trey Adams (Washington). If the Rams want another run at the Super Bowl, heck, even the playoffs, they need to upgrade their OL, and they do that with the massive product out of Washington.
2.21 TRADE: Indianapolis Colts - TE Hunter Bryant (Washington) Picking this up from the Eagles, the Colts reunite Bryant and Eason, giving them a natural replacement for Ebron as a pass catching TE.
2.22 Buffalo Bills - EDGE Jabari Zuniga (Florida). The Bills add a pass rusher here, as Zuniga's excellent play earns him a spot in the second round.
2.23 Atlanta Falcons (via NE) - CB Jaylon Johnson (Utah) - The Falcons add a corner with the pick they received in the Sanu trade. Johnson was a major asset for the tough Utah defense.
2.24 Miami Dolphins (via NO) - EDGE Jonathan Greenard (Florida). Just two picks behind a fellow Gator's pass rusher, Greenard fits Flores scheme quite well, and provides some pass rush help.
2.25 Houston Texans - RB Cam Akers (Florida State). Akers may be the most underrated back in this draft, as he managed to put up excellent footage in Tallahassee, despite playing behind that garbage OL.
2.26 Minnesota Vikings - T/G Calvin Throckmorten (Oregon). The Vikings run came to end as the 49ers obliterated their OL. They address that with the RT out of Oregon.
2.27 Seattle Seahawks - EDGE Darrell Taylor (Tennessee). The Seahawks will likely re-sign Jadeveon Clowney as a powerful SDE, but adding an edge rusher who gets after the QB a bit more would be great.
2.28 Baltimore Ravens - ILB Troy Dye (Oregon). Filling the void left by C.J. Mosley, Dye steps into to a Ravens defense, and could be a bit component for them going forward.
2.29 Tennessee Titans - RB J.K. Dobbins (Ohio State). This would change if the Titans re-sign Derrick Henry, however, with a very good offensive line, the Titans could likely continue rushing success without Henry.
2.30 Green Bay Packers - DT Ross Blacklock (TCU). Perhaps one of my favorite "sleepers" of the draft, Blacklock has a fantastic blend of size and quickness to him.
2.31 Kansas City Chiefs - CB Cameron Dantzler (Mississippi St.). A big, physical corner, Dantzler should step in and contribute for the Chiefs fairly quickly, given their needs at corner.
2.32 Seattle Seahawks - WR Brandon Aiyuk (Arizona St.). A big play waiting to happen every time the ball heads his direction, Aiyuk would give Russell Wilson an electric weapon.

Third Round

3.1 Cincinnati Bengals - C Nick Harris (Washington) 3.2 Washington Redskins - WR Donovan Peoples-Jones (Michigan) 3.3 Detroit Lions - EDGE Bradlee Anae (Utah) 3.4 TRADE: Arizona Cardinals - G John Simpson (Clemson) - from trade w/ NYJ (via NYG). 3.5 Carolina Panthers - DT Rashard Lawrence (LSU)
3.6 Miami Dolphins - G Shane Lemiuex (Oregon) 3.7 TRADE: Detroit Lions - WR Michael Pittman Jr. (USC) - from trade w/ LAC. 3.8 Arizona Cardinals - OT Yasir Durant (Missouri) 3.9 Jacksonville Jaguars - S Ashtyn Davis (California) 3.10 Cleveland Browns - G Ben Bredeson (Michigan)
3.11 Indianapolis Colts - DL Marlon Davidson (Auburn) 3.12 Tampa Bay Bucs - CB Deommodore Lenoir (Oregon) 3.13 Denver Broncos - CB Lamar Jackson (Nebraska) 3.14 Atlanta Falcons - WR Bryan Edwards (South Carolina) 3.15 New York Jets - S Antoine Winfield Jr. (Minnesota)
3.16 Las Vegas Raiders - CB/S Shyheim Carter (Alabama) 3.17 Las Vegas Raiders - LB Jacob Phillips (LSU) 3.18 Dallas Cowboys - WR Tyler Johnson (Minnesota) 3.19 Denver Broncos (via PIT) - OT Robert Hunt (UL-Lafayette) 3.20 Los Angeles Rams - DT Leki Fotu (Utah)
3.21 Philadelphia Eagles - S Kyle Dugger (Lenoir-Rhyne) 3.22 Buffalo Bills - EDGE Anfernee Jennings (Alabama) 3.23 New England Patriots - QB Jake Fromm (Georgia) 3.24 New Orleans Saints - QB Jalen Hurts (Oklahoma) 3.25 Minnesota Vikings - DL Nick Coe (Auburn)
3.26 Cleveland Browns (via HOU) - LB Malik Harrison (Ohio State) 3.27 Las Vegas Raiders (via SEA) - WR Devin Duvernay (Texas) 3.28 Baltimore Ravens - EDGE Khalid Kareem (Notre Dame) 3.29 Tennessee Titans - DT Jordan Elliott (Missouri) 3.30 Green Bay Packers - LB Jordan Mack (Virginia)
3.31 Kansas City Chiefs - LB Jordyn Brooks (Texas Tech) 3.32 Denver Broncos (via SF) - OT Scott Franz (Kansas State)
Compensatory Picks (as predicted by OverTheCap) 3.33 New England Patriots - OT Ezra Cleveland (Boise State) 3.34 New York Giants - WR Gabriel Davis (UCF) 3.35 New England Patriots - TE Adam Trautman (Dayton) 3.36 Seattle Seahawks - S Hamsah Nasirildeen (Florida State) 3.37 Houston Texans - EDGE Josh Uche (Michigan) 3.38 Pittsburgh Steelers - TE Colby Parkinson (Stanford) 3.39 Philadelphia Eagles - CB Thomas Graham (Oregon)

Fourth Round

4.1 Cincinnati Bengals - WR Antonio Gandy-Golden (Liberty) 4.2 Washington Redskins - CB Amik Robertson (Louisiana Tech) 4.3 Detroit Lions - RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (LSU) 4.4 New York Giants - CB Damon Arnette (Ohio State) 4.5 Houston Texans (via MIA) - C/G Netane Muti (Fresno State)
4.6 Los Angeles Chargers - C Matt Hennessy (Temple) 4.7 TRADE: San Francisco 49ers - C Jake Hanson (Oregon) 4.8 Arizona Cardinals - RB Chuba Hubbard (Oklahoma St.) 4.9 Cleveland Browns - OT Jack Driscoll (Auburn) 4.10 Jacksonville Jaguars - LB Akeem Davis-Gaither (Appalachian St.)
4.11 Tampa Bay Bucs - RB Eno Benjamin (Arizona St.) 4.12 Denver Broncos - DT Raequan Williams (Michigan St.) 4.13 Atlanta Falcons - CB Darnay Holmes (UCLA) 4.14 New York Jets - EDGE Kenny Willekes (Michigan St.) 4.15 Las Vegas Raiders - QB Anthony Gordon (Washington St.)
4.16 Indianapolis Colts - RB Kylin Hill (Mississippi St.) 4.17 Dallas Cowboys - WR Isaiah Hodgins (Oregon St.) 4.18 Pittsburgh Steelers - OT Ben Bartch (St. John's) 4.19 New England Patriots (via CHI) - LB Logan Wilson (Wyoming) 4.20 Los Angeles Rams - WR Chase Claypool (Notre Dame)
4.21 Philadelphia Eagles - WR Denzel Mims (Baylor) 4.22 Buffalo Bills - WR Jauan Jennings (Tennessee) 4.23 Baltimore Ravens - RB A.J. Dillon (Boston College 4.24 New Orleans Saints - CB Bryce Hall (Virginia) 4.25 Houston Texans - TE Brycen Hopkins (Purdue)
4.26 Minnesota Vikings - WR Lynn Bowden (Kentucky) 4.27 Seattle Seahawks - G Logan Stenberg (Kentucky) 4.28 Baltimore Ravens - Cesar Ruiz (Michigan) 4.29 Pittsburgh Steelers (via TEN) - OT Justin Herron (Wake Forrest) 4.30 Green Bay Packers - OT Matt Peart (UCONN)
4.31 Kansas City Chiefs - CB Kindle Vildor (Georgia Southern) 4.32 Denver Broncos (via SF) - LB Cameron Brown (Penn State)
Anyways. That's my shot at one. Tell me why you hate it...
submitted by boanerges77 to NFL_Draft [link] [comments]

Rankings: Every D1 Team vs. Spread Since 2011 (Cumulative) - UVA, MSU, Nova on top

Since 2011 (as far back as I have data), how has each team done vs. the spread?
Specifically, if you bet $110 on every single game to beat the spread (which wins you $100 profit) since 2011, where would you be today? The chart below shows.
Interestingly, a lot of the best teams of the era were also the best vs. the spread. Coincidence? I'm not sure, honestly. Someone has to be best vs. the spread, and assuming it's a bell curve (and it is) someone will be 2+ standard deviations ahead. But there's no a priori reason it should be UVA and MSU instead of e.g. Washington State or St. Peter's.
(To pre-answer a question, sometimes you can win more money with fewer net wins vs. the spread because losses hurt you more than wins benefit you, and not every game gets a spread.)
Additional data / year-by-year cuts
Team Money Won Lines Set **Net Wins vs. Spread % Games Won & Beat Spread Points Above Spread
1 Virginia Cavaliers $4430 275 55 55.27% 559
2 Michigan State Spartans $3940 290 51 54.14% 440
3 Villanova Wildcats $3610 290 48 54.48% 329
4 South Dakota State Jackrabbits $3550 259 46 53.28% 593.5
5 Utah Utes $3200 272 43 44.49% 310.5
6 Wichita State Shockers $2340 276 35 52.54% 273
7 Tulsa Golden Hurricane $2290 264 34 45.08% 131
8 Yale Bulldogs $2070 201 29 47.26% 109.5
9 Gonzaga Bulldogs $1570 281 28 52.67% 525
10 Creighton Blue Jays $1480 277 27 50.54% 312
11 Buffalo Bulls $1420 270 26 46.67% 447.5
12 Saint Josephs-Pennsylvania Hawks $1410 206 23 46.12% 131.5
13 Houston Cougars $1410 250 25 47.2% 381.5
14 Davidson College Wildcats $1370 274 26 49.27% 134.5
15 Robert Morris Colonials $1350 109 18 44.04% -62.5
16 North Florida Ospreys $1350 108 18 38.89% 48.5
17 Northwestern State Demons $1330 74 16 29.73% 4
18 North Carolina Tar Heels $1290 296 26 50% 289.5
19 Georgia Bulldogs $1280 272 25 39.71% 203.5
20 Texas-Arlington Mavericks $1260 239 23 43.1% 231
21 Hartford Hawks $1250 87 16 42.53% 105.5
22 Oregon Ducks $1240 285 25 49.82% 315
23 Seton Hall Pirates $1170 275 24 43.64% 140
24 IUPU-Fort Wayne Mastadons $1130 242 22 40.5% 213
25 New Mexico State Aggies $1070 190 19 48.95% 352.5
26 Southeastern Louisiana Lions $1070 80 14 32.5% 102
27 California-Irvine Anteaters $1060 281 23 45.2% 185
28 William & Mary $1060 212 20 41.98% 47
29 Furman Paladins $1030 236 21 42.8% 187
30 Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix $1030 262 22 41.98% 87.5
31 Kansas Jayhawks $990 290 23 52.41% 66.5
32 Purdue Boilermakers $980 274 22 45.99% 299
33 Vermont Catamounts $940 112 14 48.21% 119
34 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets $920 264 21 35.98% -21
35 San Diego State Aztecs $910 271 21 49.08% 140
36 Wofford Terriers $870 253 20 43.08% 298.5
37 Saint Francis-Pennsylvania Red Flash $840 85 12 42.35% -89.5
38 Mississippi Rebels $820 281 21 40.57% -18
39 Florida International Panthers $770 232 18 34.91% 99.5
40 Nevada Wolf Pack $760 277 20 45.13% 138
41 Colgate Red Raiders $750 104 12 42.31% 146.5
42 Louisville Cardinals $740 282 20 47.16% 383
43 Providence Friars $740 279 20 44.44% 332.5
44 North Carolina Central Eagles $740 108 12 40.74% 166
45 Gardner Webb Runnin Bulldogs $730 106 12 42.45% 106.5
46 Norfolk State Spartans $720 110 12 35.45% 69
47 Tennessee State Tigers $660 233 17 33.48% 25.5
48 North Carolina State Wolfpack $650 275 19 43.64% 114.5
49 Fresno State Bulldogs $620 259 18 38.61% 295.5
50 Maryland Terrapins $610 268 18 44.03% 84
51 Saint Bonaventure Bonnies $600 265 18 46.04% 287
52 California Baptist $590 51 8 45.1% 51.5
53 Northern Illinois Huskies $540 258 17 32.17% -17
54 Southern University A&M Jaguars $540 105 10 34.29% 13.5
55 Army Black Knights $520 107 10 42.06% -37.5
56 South Dakota Coyotes $480 246 16 38.62% 139
57 Merrimack Warriors $480 30 6 56.67% -8
58 California-Santa Barbara Gauchos $480 247 16 41.7% 66.5
59 Iowa State Cyclones $470 269 17 44.98% 403.5
60 Prairie View A&M $470 97 9 36.08% 140.5
61 Manhattan Jaspers $460 270 17 41.11% 76.5
62 Hofstra Pride $440 256 16 40.23% 4.5
63 East Tennessee State Buccaneers $420 193 13 45.08% 125
64 Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks $420 236 15 30.08% 193
65 Lipscomb Bison $410 108 9 37.04% 84.5
66 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs $380 244 15 45.9% 80
67 Georgia Southern Eagles $370 248 15 38.71% 248
68 No.Carolina A&T $340 59 6 35.59% 90.5
69 Murray State Racers $340 252 15 46.43% 228.5
70 Fairleigh Dickinson-Metropolitan Knights $320 83 7 36.14% 197
71 Seattle University Red Hawks $310 129 9 37.21% 107
72 Iowa Hawkeyes $280 268 15 45.9% 129
73 Florida A&M $270 93 7 33.33% 64
74 Sam Houston State Bearkats $270 95 7 41.05% 34.5
75 Texas Rio Grande Vaqueros $250 80 6 32.5% 92
76 North Alabama $240 57 5 28.07% 25.5
77 Winthrop Eagles $230 102 7 38.24% -52.5
78 Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans $230 251 14 39.04% 9.5
79 San Francisco Dons $210 258 14 39.92% 143
80 Campbell Fighting Camels $200 86 6 37.21% -18.5
81 California State-Bakersfield Roadrunners $180 70 5 31.43% 48.5
82 Stetson Hatters $170 93 6 23.66% -21.5
83 Michigan Wolverines $160 287 15 48.78% 318.5
84 Utah Valley Wolverines $40 100 5 35% 22
85 Arizona Wildcats $30 294 14 50.34% 246
86 Indiana Hoosiers $10 276 13 45.65% 213.5
87 Dayton Flyers $0 277 13 47.29% 212.5
88 Valparaiso Crusaders $-40 267 12 44.94% 34.5
89 Central Florida Knights $-40 244 11 38.93% -70
90 Northern Kentucky Norse $-80 164 7 42.68% 139
91 Delaware Blue Hens $-80 254 11 37.01% -55.5
92 Jackson State Tigers $-100 86 3 26.74% -17
93 Montana Grizzlies $-100 263 11 44.11% 185.5
94 Long Island Brooklyn Blackbirds $-110 107 4 40.19% 104
95 Tennessee Volunteers $-110 282 12 42.2% 305
96 Bowling Green State Falcons $-120 261 11 38.7% -14
97 South Carolina-Upstate Spartans $-150 94 3 28.72% -66
98 Harvard Crimson $-170 227 9 42.73% 112
99 Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns $-170 247 10 43.72% 14.5
100 Stony Brook Seawolves $-200 108 3 40.74% -21.5
101 New Hampshire Wildcats $-260 75 1 24% -67.5
102 Hampton University Pirates $-260 96 2 39.58% 175.5
103 Kansas State Wildcats $-280 270 10 42.59% 131
104 Duke Blue Devils $-280 292 11 50.68% 87
105 American Eagles $-290 102 2 39.22% 83.5
106 Princeton Tigers $-310 212 7 43.87% 43
107 Abilene Christian Wildcats $-310 62 0 40.32% 41
108 Missouri-Kansas City Kangaroos $-320 150 4 34.67% -5.5
109 Evansville Aces $-320 259 9 34.75% 50
110 Portland State Vikings $-360 246 8 36.59% -1
111 Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders $-400 276 9 42.75% 288
112 New Mexico Lobos $-400 274 9 45.99% -17
113 Florida State Seminoles $-400 276 9 46.38% 143.5
114 Coppin State Eagles $-410 105 1 21.9% -43
115 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers $-420 277 9 41.52% -7.5
116 South Carolina State Bulldogs $-430 88 0 20.45% 8
117 New Orleans Privateers $-440 69 -1 31.88% -18.5
118 Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils $-450 92 0 14.13% -111
119 Maryland-Baltimore County Retrievers $-450 92 0 35.87% -3.5
120 Samford Bulldogs $-460 244 7 31.15% 107
121 Oklahoma Sooners $-470 269 8 42.01% 178
122 Loyola-Chicago Ramblers $-470 265 8 38.49% 123.5
123 Radford Highlanders $-480 98 0 39.8% 78
124 Maine Black Bears $-500 80 -1 13.75% -41
125 Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles $-510 253 7 35.18% 92.5
126 Southern Methodist Mustangs $-520 260 7 43.08% 13.5
127 Eastern Washington Eagles $-530 258 7 40.31% 142.5
128 Baylor Bears $-540 261 7 45.59% 216.5
129 Florida Gulf Coast Eagles $-550 112 0 38.39% 60.5
130 Illinois-Chicago Flames $-580 267 7 31.84% -96.5
131 Towson Tigers $-580 246 6 36.59% 38
132 Albany Great Danes $-580 97 -1 31.96% 67
133 Saint Francis-New York Terriers $-590 55 -3 32.73% -93.5
134 Nicholls State Colonels $-590 77 -2 31.17% -99.5
135 Grambling State Tigers $-590 58 -3 32.76% 36
136 Memphis Tigers $-600 274 7 44.53% 135
137 North Carolina-Asheville Bulldogs $-610 101 -1 28.71% -69
138 Butler Bulldogs $-620 278 7 46.04% 55.5
139 Canisius Golden Griffins $-640 263 6 38.4% -108
140 Longwood Lancers $-640 87 -2 31.03% 85.5
141 Air Force Falcons $-650 240 5 30.83% -98
142 Virginia Tech Hokies $-650 260 6 36.92% 101
143 Akron Zips $-660 262 6 42.37% 86.5
144 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors $-680 247 5 42.11% 49
145 McNeese State Cowboys $-690 76 -3 30.26% -49
146 South Alabama Jaguars $-710 253 5 36.36% -91
147 Incarnate Word Cardinals $-710 58 -4 17.24% -50.5
148 Eastern Michigan Eagles $-720 251 5 39.44% 115.5
149 Mississippi State Bulldogs $-730 257 5 36.96% -66.5
150 Charleston Southern Buccaneers $-750 89 -3 32.58% 48.5
151 Mercer Bears $-750 195 2 36.92% -94.5
152 Mount Saint Marys Mountaineers $-770 70 -4 37.14% 9
153 Wyoming Cowboys $-770 265 5 35.85% -55.5
154 Auburn Tigers $-780 265 5 40% 4.5
155 Lafayette College Leopards $-790 98 -3 33.67% -151.5
156 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers $-790 139 -1 40.29% -25
157 Pennsylvania Quakers $-800 227 3 37% -27
158 Alabama A&M $-840 86 -4 19.77% -113
159 Saint Marys College-California Gaels $-850 237 3 47.68% 17
160 Jacksonville State Gamecocks $-860 239 3 31.8% 28
161 Belmont Bruins $-880 243 3 46.09% 95
162 Central Arkansas Bears $-890 74 -5 24.32% -103
163 New Jersey Tech Highlanders $-900 77 -5 28.57% 4.5
164 Saint Louis Billikens $-910 269 4 40.52% -86.5
165 Binghamton Bearcats $-910 81 -5 22.22% -17.5
166 Bethune Cookman Wildcats $-920 81 -5 33.33% -23
167 Clemson Tigers $-940 256 3 39.84% 34
168 Houston Baptist Huskies $-950 86 -5 18.6% -22
169 Nebraska-Omaha Mavericks $-960 216 1 35.65% 59.5
170 Presbyterian Blue Hose $-960 88 -5 25% -54.5
171 Pepperdine Waves $-970 263 3 31.18% -30
172 Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks $-990 95 -5 14.74% -185.5
173 Oregon State Beavers $-990 267 3 36.7% -52.5
174 Bucknell Bison $-1020 121 -4 39.67% 107.5
175 Texas-El Paso Miners $-1030 252 2 37.7% -71
176 North Texas Mean Green Eagles $-1040 236 1 33.05% -187.5
177 Lamar Cardinals $-1050 85 -6 35.29% 21.5
178 Navy Midshipmen $-1050 107 -5 30.84% -20.5
179 Pacific Tigers $-1060 260 2 32.69% -109
180 California-Davis Aggies $-1060 259 2 35.91% 22
181 Xavier Musketeers $-1090 287 3 45.99% 57.5
182 Utah State Aggies $-1090 264 2 43.94% 151
183 Lehigh Mountain Hawks $-1100 116 -5 37.93% 55
184 Missouri Tigers $-1100 273 2 36.26% 31.5
185 Northern Colorado Bears $-1120 250 1 36.4% -134.5
186 Temple Owls $-1130 275 2 41.82% -66
187 Savannah State Tigers $-1140 63 -8 25.4% -219.5
188 Saint Peters Peacocks $-1150 213 -1 34.27% -45
189 Sacred Heart Pioneers $-1160 86 -7 33.72% -144
190 Toledo Rockets $-1180 260 1 42.69% 168
191 Wisconsin Badgers $-1190 286 2 46.85% 53.5
192 Grand Canyon Antelope $-1190 93 -7 34.41% 8
193 Loyola-Marymount Lions $-1210 140 -5 37.14% -100.5
194 Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions $-1230 99 -7 21.21% -1.5
195 Virginia Commonwealth Rams $-1250 278 1 46.04% 111.5
196 West Virginia Mountaineers $-1260 280 1 43.21% 38
197 Brown Bears $-1260 197 -3 30.46% 69
198 San Diego Toreros $-1260 258 0 31.78% 104.5
199 Texas A&M CC $-1260 85 -8 24.71% 21
200 Drake Bulldogs $-1270 264 0 36.36% 79.5
201 Penn State Nittany Lions $-1300 268 0 35.45% 38.5
202 Northern Iowa Panthers $-1310 271 0 45.02% -32.5
203 Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks $-1310 75 -9 33.33% -29.5
204 Wright State Raiders $-1320 269 0 42.75% 108
205 Georgia State Panthers $-1320 266 0 45.11% 130
206 Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles $-1330 232 -2 32.76% -228.5
207 Massachusetts Minutemen $-1340 273 0 37.36% -130.5
208 Morgan State Bears $-1340 100 -8 29% -57
209 Quinnipiac Bobcats $-1350 193 -4 36.79% -61
210 Texas A&M $-1360 255 -1 38.82% -103.5
211 Western Michigan Broncos $-1380 262 -1 35.11% -9
212 Stephen F. Austin State Lumberjacks $-1380 89 -9 39.33% -85
213 Saint Johns Red Storm $-1380 241 -2 34.02% -53.5
214 Colorado Buffaloes $-1390 283 0 43.82% 72
215 Tennessee-Chattanooga Moccasins $-1410 246 -2 34.96% -180.5
216 North Carolina-Charlotte 49ers $-1420 251 -2 33.07% -259.5
217 Idaho Vandals $-1450 231 -3 33.77% -7
218 Western Carolina Catamounts $-1460 256 -2 30.47% -207
219 Alabama State Hornets $-1480 89 -10 19.1% -126.5
220 California-Riverside Highlanders $-1480 243 -3 26.75% -88.5
221 Idaho State Bengals $-1480 240 -3 25% -65.5
222 Oakland Golden Grizzlies $-1480 262 -2 35.88% -183
223 Chicago State Cougars $-1490 91 -10 6.59% -218
224 Loyola-Maryland Greyhounds $-1500 268 -2 28.73% -83.5
225 Jacksonville Dolphins $-1500 92 -10 27.17% 51.5
226 Boston University Terriers $-1510 115 -9 38.26% -63
227 Kentucky Wildcats $-1530 292 -1 47.6% 91.5
228 Miami-Florida Hurricanes $-1530 270 -2 42.96% 123
229 Siena College Saints $-1530 252 -3 35.71% -32.5
230 Stanford Cardinal $-1540 274 -2 41.97% -49
231 Vanderbilt Commodores $-1560 274 -2 36.13% 114.5
232 Holy Cross Crusaders $-1560 104 -10 27.88% -35.5
233 Rutgers Scarlet Knights $-1570 255 -3 29.41% -242.5
234 East Carolina Pirates $-1580 238 -4 29.83% -41
235 Eastern Kentucky Colonels $-1580 238 -4 34.03% -84.5
236 Delaware State Hornets $-1590 88 -11 17.05% -115.5
237 Louisiana State Tigers $-1600 266 -3 40.23% -100.5
238 Monmouth-New Jersey Hawks $-1600 220 -5 38.64% -59
239 Austin Peay State Governors $-1620 246 -4 32.93% -116
240 Boise State Broncos $-1630 265 -3 40.38% 92.5
241 Citadel Bulldogs $-1630 226 -5 19.47% -217
242 North Dakota Fighting Hawks $-1650 230 -5 33.91% -121
243 Kent State Golden Flashes $-1690 261 -4 40.61% -28
244 Liberty University Flames $-1690 107 -11 39.25% -30
245 Bryant University Bulldogs $-1700 88 -12 26.14% -128.5
246 Miami-Ohio Redhawks $-1700 263 -4 30.42% -53.5
247 Southern Illinois Salukis $-1710 266 -4 37.22% -153.5
248 Appalachian State Mountaineers $-1720 245 -5 29.39% -109.5
249 Marshall Thundering Herd $-1730 268 -4 37.31% -224.5
250 Rhode Island Rams $-1730 269 -4 38.66% 60
251 Nebraska Cornhuskers $-1740 268 -4 35.07% 23
252 Alabama Crimson Tide $-1750 273 -4 37% 21.5
253 Marquette Golden Eagles $-1770 274 -4 41.97% -16
254 Denver Pioneers $-1780 253 -5 37.15% -103
255 Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners $-1790 214 -7 33.18% 70.5
256 Alcorn State Braves $-1800 87 -13 20.69% -164.5
257 High Point Panthers $-1820 91 -13 29.67% -136
258 Texas Southern Tigers $-1840 119 -12 30.25% -33
259 Central Michigan Chippewas $-1840 254 -6 34.65% -50
260 Arkansas Razorbacks $-1860 269 -5 43.49% -104
261 Rider Broncs $-1870 254 -6 38.58% -27.5
262 Syracuse Orange $-1880 274 -5 45.26% -139.5
263 Brigham Young Cougars $-1880 278 -5 46.04% 118
264 Oklahoma State Cowboys $-1940 268 -6 39.18% 93.5
265 North Carolina-Greensboro Spartans $-1950 249 -7 37.75% 130
266 Texas Longhorns $-1970 273 -6 36.26% -9.5
267 Cleveland State Vikings $-2030 267 -7 33.71% -109
268 Ohio State Buckeyes $-2030 283 -6 45.94% 20.5
269 Niagara Purple Eagles $-2040 265 -7 30.94% -131
270 Marist Red Foxes $-2050 245 -8 27.35% -19
271 South Carolina Gamecocks $-2060 272 -7 38.6% -93.5
272 Central Connecticut State Blue Devils $-2070 79 -16 15.19% -148.5
273 California State-Sacramento Hornets $-2100 239 -9 31.38% -83.5
274 Texas State Bobcats $-2110 217 -10 35.94% -44.5
275 Missouri State Bears $-2120 237 -9 32.07% -167
276 Southern California Trojans $-2150 288 -7 37.85% -174.5
277 Northwestern Wildcats $-2160 270 -8 35.56% -62
278 California State-Long Beach 49ers $-2170 274 -8 34.67% -16
279 California State-Northridge Matadors $-2190 254 -9 25.98% -247.5
280 Duquesne Dukes $-2210 240 -10 32.08% -133.5
281 Columbia Lions $-2240 199 -12 27.64% -79.5
282 Notre Dame Fighting Irish $-2250 267 -9 40.07% -117.5
283 Wagner Seahawks $-2250 94 -17 35.11% -144.5
284 UCLA Bruins $-2290 292 -8 44.86% 9
285 Connecticut Huskies $-2290 273 -9 38.83% -94.5
286 Troy Trojans $-2360 245 -11 29.8% -47.5
287 Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers $-2360 270 -10 33.33% -188
288 Cornell Big Red $-2360 207 -13 26.57% -150
289 Morehead State Eagles $-2370 253 -11 30.83% -171.5
290 Cincinnati Bearcats $-2390 272 -10 45.22% 84.5
291 Ohio Bobcats $-2400 252 -11 40.87% -110
292 Washington Huskies $-2400 275 -10 38.91% -70
293 UNLV Rebels $-2450 289 -10 39.1% -154.5
294 Richmond Spiders $-2470 269 -11 40.15% 18
295 Northeastern Huskies $-2470 267 -11 41.95% 15
296 Dartmouth College Big Green $-2480 192 -15 24.48% -12
297 Howard Bison $-2500 103 -19 21.36% -141
298 Florida Gators $-2510 281 -11 41.64% 193
299 Boston College Eagles $-2520 257 -12 26.85% -112.5
300 Portland Pilots $-2530 262 -12 26.34% -235
301 Colorado State Rams $-2530 262 -12 37.4% 142.5
302 Southeast Missouri State Redhawks $-2540 240 -13 27.08% 44
303 Youngstown State Penguins $-2580 250 -13 28.4% -153
304 Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Cougars $-2620 231 -14 23.38% -83
305 Minnesota Golden Gophers $-2620 278 -12 38.49% -295.5
306 Fairfield Stags $-2650 260 -13 33.85% -199.5
307 Georgetown Hoyas $-2670 265 -13 38.11% 14
308 Indiana State Sycamores $-2670 267 -13 37.83% -159.5
309 North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks $-2690 253 -14 32.02% -162
310 Arkansas State Red Wolves $-2700 249 -14 34.54% -193
311 Virginia Military Keydets $-2750 177 -18 21.47% -339
312 Southern Utah Thunderbirds $-2820 255 -15 24.71% -195
313 Illinois State Redbirds $-2820 274 -14 40.15% 54
314 Arizona State Sun Devils $-2900 278 -15 39.93% -28
315 Old Dominion Monarchs $-2910 271 -15 39.85% -11.5
316 Weber State Wildcats $-2920 252 -16 40.48% -69
317 Elon Phoenix $-2920 252 -16 34.52% -134
318 Drexel Dragons $-2970 265 -16 32.83% -120.5
319 Wake Forest Demon Deacons $-2980 265 -16 30.19% -100.5
320 Rice University Owls $-3050 238 -18 25.21% -38
321 Fordham Rams $-3090 248 -18 25.4% -177.5
322 South Florida Bulls $-3100 267 -17 27.72% -131
323 DePaul Blue Demons $-3100 271 -17 28.78% -167.5
324 Iona Gaels $-3130 274 -17 41.97% 116
325 North Dakota State Bison $-3140 254 -18 42.52% -7.5
326 Alabama-Birmingham Blazers $-3170 261 -18 38.7% -117.5
327 Western Illinois Leathernecks $-3180 220 -20 27.73% -167
328 Washington State Cougars $-3190 265 -18 31.7% -191
329 Montana State Bobcats $-3210 251 -19 30.68% -213.5
330 Bradley Braves $-3220 274 -18 31.02% -266.5
331 Northern Arizona Lumberjacks $-3260 258 -19 26.36% -372
332 Texas Tech Red Raiders $-3270 258 -19 33.33% -57
333 Kennesaw State Owls $-3280 91 -27 8.79% -186
334 Santa Clara Broncos $-3390 263 -20 31.94% -207.5
335 Oral Roberts Golden Eagles $-3550 209 -24 29.67% -180
336 La Salle Explorers $-3570 260 -22 35.38% -194
337 James Madison Dukes $-3580 260 -22 33.85% -144.5
338 Eastern Illinois Panthers $-3630 246 -23 33.33% -214
339 Texas Christian Horned Frogs $-3690 261 -23 31.8% -44.5
340 Detroit-Mercy Titans $-3700 266 -23 27.07% -221.5
341 George Mason Patriots $-3850 272 -24 35.29% -55.5
342 Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks $-3870 229 -26 29.26% -239
343 Tulane Green Wave $-3900 242 -26 27.69% -223
344 California Golden Bears $-4020 283 -25 36.4% -326
345 Illinois Fighting Illini $-4030 274 -26 35.04% -193
346 Ball State Cardinals $-4170 249 -28 32.13% -143.5
347 California State-Fullerton Titans $-4170 252 -28 32.14% -66.5
348 Florida Atlantic Owls $-4350 244 -30 27.87% -151
349 San Jose State Spartans $-4370 252 -30 16.67% -384
350 College of Charleston Cougars $-4790 266 -33 37.97% -194.5
351 George Washington Colonials $-5090 267 -36 34.46% -79.5
352 Indiana-Purdue Jaguars $-5140 254 -37 25.59% -339
353 Pittsburgh Panthers $-5190 272 -37 31.25% -289.5
354 Cal Poly-Slo Mustangs $-6250 249 -48 26.1% -338
submitted by Cav_vaC to CollegeBasketball [link] [comments]

What if Universities Gambled their Endowment on Football? The 2018 Endowment Stakes Retrospective

The 2018 /CFB Endowment Stakes - A Retrospective

Note: This post is best enjoyed on a desktop with old Reddit: click here

Hello all - over the course of last season I ran an ongoing series with the goal of determining what would happen if each FBS university staked their endowment on their football program. Each week, schools would gamble 50% of their endowment on the money line odds for each game they participated in.

I ran fourteen editions of this throughout the season. Unfortunately, due to work and health issues, by the end of the last season, I didn't have the time to create and submit the final post. Throughout the entire offseason, I planned on publishing the last version and it turns out I waited until the last possible week to publish content from the 2018 season. So without further ado, enjoy the last edition of the 2018 Endowment Stakes.

I tracked each and every game in 2018 with their betting implications in a Google Sheet

2018 Endowment Stake Results

All amounts are in $ Billions
Rank School Endowment Starting Growth
1 Northwestern Northwestern $28.72B $10.46B 174.58%
2 Notre Dame Notre Dame $27.84B $11.80B 135.97%
3 Texas Texas $21.23B $10.43B 103.53%
4 Kentucky Kentucky $10.90B $1.28B 751.32%
5 Ohio State Ohio State $10.50B $4.25B 146.88%
6 Stanford Stanford $7.78B $24.80B -68.64%
7 Duke Duke $5.49B $6.84B -19.67%
8 Virginia Virginia $4.11B $8.62B -52.36%
9 Cincinnati Cincinnati $3.72B $1.17B 219.43%
10 Washington State Washington State $2.96B $974.00M 203.94%
11 Florida Florida $2.72B $1.61B 68.77%
12 Michigan Michigan $2.37B $10.90B -78.26%
13 LSU LSU $2.04B $845.00M 141.18%
14 Minnesota Minnesota $1.98B $3.49B -43.41%
15 Clemson Clemson $1.95B $621.00M 213.61%
16 Syracuse Syracuse $1.87B $1.26B 48.24%
17 Oklahoma Oklahoma $940.48M $1.65B -43.00%
18 Texas A&M Texas A&M $902.53M $4.53B -80.08%
19 UAB UAB $900.22M $425.00M 111.82%
20 SMU SMU $859.85M $1.51B -43.21%
21 Wake Forest Wake Forest $767.75M $1.14B -32.71%
22 California California $716.16M $4.30B -83.35%
23 Washington Washington $689.87M $3.36B -79.47%
24 BYU BYU $643.20M $1.47B -56.24%
25 Iowa Iowa $586.82M $1.39B -57.69%
26 Pittsburgh Pittsburgh $557.48M $3.95B -85.89%
27 Army Army $546.00M $200.00M 173.00%
28 Alabama Alabama $512.20M $683.00M -25.01%
29 Penn State Penn State $507.52M $3.99B -87.28%
30 Hawaii Hawaii $382.26M $296.00M 29.14%
31 Wisconsin Wisconsin $381.38M $2.75B -86.11%
32 Buffalo Buffalo $333.39M $659.00M -49.41%
33 Purdue Purdue $323.41M $2.43B -86.66%
34 Tulane Tulane $322.81M $1.17B -72.43%
35 Boston College Boston College $285.79M $2.40B -88.09%
36 Georgia Georgia $278.01M $1.15B -75.87%
37 Liberty Liberty $276.68M $1.29B -78.55%
38 Michigan State Michigan State $271.72M $2.28B -88.06%
39 Oregon Oregon $258.00M $828.00M -68.84%
40 NC State NC State $252.37M $1.35B -81.31%
41 Oklahoma State Oklahoma State $251.68M $1.33B -81.01%
42 Temple Temple $248.89M $513.00M -51.48%
43 Utah State Utah State $236.22M $359.00M -34.20%
44 UCF Central Florida $220.98M $156.00M 41.66%
45 Baylor Baylor $206.13M $1.23B -83.24%
46 Iowa State Iowa State $186.53M $839.00M -77.77%
47 Utah Utah $158.94M $1.08B -85.28%
48 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech $153.01M $1.70B -91.00%
49 Fresno State Fresno State $152.67M $154.00M -0.86%
50 Georgia Tech Georgia Tech $138.16M $1.88B -92.67%
51 Troy Troy $133.65M $104.00M 28.51%
52 Ohio Ohio $132.83M $550.00M -75.85%
53 Arizona State Arizona State $132.40M $665.00M -80.09%
54 FIU Florida Intl $126.45M $196.00M -35.49%
55 TCU TCU $125.19M $1.52B -91.76%
56 Missouri Missouri $122.91M $1.00B -87.71%
57 Vanderbilt Vanderbilt $121.09M $4.10B -97.05%
58 Texas Tech Texas Tech $113.72M $1.20B -90.48%
59 Nevada Nevada $108.94M $334.00M -67.38%
60 West Virginia West Virginia $105.29M $566.00M -81.40%
61 USC USC $83.00M $5.10B -98.37%
62 Georgia Southern Georgia Southern $81.92M $50.00M 63.83%
63 North Texas North Texas $76.95M $309.00M -75.10%
64 Old Dominion Old Dominion $72.69M $214.00M -66.03%
65 Auburn Auburn $66.62M $738.00M -90.97%
66 Miami (OH) Miami (OH) $66.06M $447.00M -85.22%
67 Tennessee Tennessee $58.06M $1.10B -94.72%
68 Mississippi State Mississippi State $50.40M $470.00M -89.28%
69 Marshall Marshall $49.38M $110.00M -55.10%
70 Houston Houston $48.16M $697.00M -93.09%
71 Illinois Illinois $47.97M $3.46B -98.61%
72 Appalachian State Appalachian State $47.54M $95.00M -49.96%
73 Charlotte Charlotte $46.10M $182.00M -74.67%
74 Boise State Boise State $45.02M $98.00M -54.06%
75 South Carolina South Carolina $42.91M $771.00M -94.43%
76 Arizona Arizona $35.71M $742.00M -95.19%
77 San Diego State San Diego State $35.54M $262.00M -86.44%
78 Indiana Indiana $34.62M $1.99B -98.26%
79 UCLA UCLA $32.03M $4.35B -99.26%
80 Western Michigan Western Michigan $31.24M $387.00M -91.93%
81 Miami Miami $28.46M $949.00M -97.00%
82 Colorado Colorado $26.10M $1.06B -97.54%
83 Wyoming Wyoming $24.92M $500.00M -95.02%
84 Kansas Kansas $23.29M $1.61B -98.55%
85 Northern Illinois Northern Illinois $21.54M $75.00M -71.27%
86 Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech $21.49M $100.00M -78.51%
87 Kansas State Kansas State $20.43M $506.00M -95.96%
88 Maryland Maryland $20.40M $542.00M -96.24%
89 UNLV UNLV $19.60M $231.00M -91.52%
90 USF South Florida $16.96M $442.00M -96.16%
91 Toledo Toledo $16.89M $416.00M -95.94%
92 North Carolina North Carolina $13.38M $3.90B -99.66%
93 Florida State Florida State $12.50M $707.00M -98.23%
94 Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan $11.45M $67.00M -82.92%
95 Nebraska Nebraska $10.67M $1.48B -99.28%
96 Southern Miss Southern Mississippi $10.23M $117.00M -91.26%
97 Ole Miss Ole Miss $9.20M $606.00M -98.48%
98 Akron Akron $7.38M $238.00M -96.90%
99 Middle Tennessee Middle Tennessee $7.35M $59.00M -87.54%
100 UMass UMass $6.70M $768.00M -99.13%
101 Louisiana Louisiana $6.61M $178.00M -96.29%
102 Rice Rice $6.03M $5.32B -99.89%
103 Arkansas State Arkansas State $5.51M $55.00M -89.99%
104 FAU Florida Atlantic $4.39M $275.00M -98.40%
105 ULM UL Monroe $4.22M $23.00M -81.65%
106 Oregon State Oregon State $4.11M $549.00M -99.25%
107 Colorado State Colorado State $3.98M $330.00M -98.80%
108 Ball State Ball State $3.63M $193.00M -98.12%
109 Tulsa Tulsa $3.62M $958.00M -99.62%
110 New Mexico New Mexico $2.68M $423.00M -99.37%
111 Memphis Memphis $2.22M $199.00M -98.88%
112 ECU East Carolina $1.93M $208.00M -99.07%
113 Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina $1.71M $26.00M -93.43%
114 South Alabama South Alabama $1.57M $497.00M -99.69%
115 Bowling Green Bowling Green $1.37M $148.00M -99.08%
116 WKU Western Kentucky $1.31M $126.00M -98.96%
117 Arkansas Arkansas $1.15M $1.00B -99.88%
118 Texas State Texas State $1.15M $187.00M -99.38%
119 Air Force Air Force $954.54K $49.00M -98.05%
120 New Mexico State New Mexico State $768.80K $168.00M -99.54%
121 Louisville Louisville $725.83K $719.00M -99.90%
122 Rutgers Rutgers $622.56K $1.20B -99.95%
123 UTSA UTSA $605.68K $162.00M -99.63%
124 Navy Navy $558.40K $223.00M -99.75%
125 Georgia State Georgia State $530.00K $186.00M -99.72%
126 Connecticut UConn $234.28K $422.00M -99.94%
127 Kent State Kent State $177.88K $111.00M -99.84%
128 UTEP UTEP $152.03K $217.00M -99.93%
129 San Jose State San Jose State $92.35K $143.00M -99.94%
130 Central Michigan Central Michigan $81.11K $130.00M -99.94%

For all 130 teams with each week's results, please see Google Sheet

Throughout 2018, the /cfb Sports Book took home a $61.10B profit

There were winners and (mostly) losers when it came to gambling this season. 17 programs added to their endowment, with Kentucky Kentucky leading the way with a staggering 751.32% growth. 113 programs lost a varying amount, with Rutgers Rutgers shedding the largest percentage of their endowment at -99.95%.

Notes:

I had a great time publishing this series throughout the course of last season. While not an avid gambler myself, I am intrigued by sports betting and this was a great exercise to see the effect of money line gambling. A big thank you to all who followed along last season and left notes/feedback.

I've received a handful of PM's asking if this series will be coming back for another season. The short answer is probably no, with shifting work responsibility I don't have the capability to do this on my own. A great deal of work went into each week of posting, and I fear I don't have the capability to do this on my own this season. If you are interested in helping out and keeping the season alive, PM me and we can see if there is a way to make it work

There was some discussion throughout the season of making an interactive version of this, where users could gamble on a set of games each week; if you have the capability to manage that, please PM me and let me know

Past Editions:

Week 13 Week 12 Week 11 Week 10 Week 9 Week 8 Week 7 Week 6 Week 5 Week 4 Week 3 Week 2 Week 1 Week 0 Pre-Season

Thank you again for the support on this series and have a great 2019 season!

submitted by dasani3x to CFB [link] [comments]

Potential Draft targets for the Browns on Day 2/3 - Offense

With the combine on taking place and the draft approaching quickly, i thought i would look into potential targets for us on days 2 and 3. So i compiled a little overview of players i think could be an intriguing fit for our team as well as provide some nice value.
Mind you, that the rankings of the players are only preliminary at this stage! Also if you agree/disagree or think i need to add a player, feel free to say so in the comments.
Now its time to take a look at the offense.
( the order of the rankings arent necessarily an indicator for ability but also value for the expected draft position)

QB

Now admittedly, this is the position group i have looked into the least so far, so naturally the list will be rather short.
However, i do feel like we need to work on our QB room. Gilbert is okay-ish as backup, and he is cheap, but i think we could upgrade an should at least bring in some competition for TC.
Now there are two possible routes to take: either sign a veteran FA like Keenum or take a guy late in the draft/ sign a UDFA and develop him into a quality backup - who knows, maybe we will be able to flip our promising backup qb´s for a profit like the Pats did.
Cole McDonald | Hawaii
Kevin Davidson | Princeton
Those really are the only players i could identify as possible later round targets for the Browns.
Regardless of how you feel about which route we should take, i think we can all agree that there at least should be more competition for the backup spot.

RB

Two words: Nick. Chubb.
we are blessed to have arguably the best pure runner in the entire league. Combine that with the likely return of Kareem Hunt and we are poised to have one of the best RB situations in the entire league.
However, imo it is unlikely Hunt signs an extension here so next year we will have Nick Chubb going into his contract year, and RB´s and extension is always a hot button issue in itself.
Therefore i think it wouldnt be the worst idea to take a RB later in the draft that fits our scheme, if the value is there.
Darius Anderson | TCU
Antonio Gibson | Memphis
Ke´Shawn Vaughn | Vanderbilt
Jamycal Hasty | Baylor
James Robinson | Illinois State
Anderson, Gibson and Vaughn would be very intriguing options for us - their skill sets have written zone run all over them. They also should be available in the 5th - 7th round range. Robinson could be worth a flyer at the back end of the draft, tho i think he will be available as a UDFA.

WR

The WR room is pretty stacked, with a (hopefully) fit OBJ and Jarvis Landry. However, we lack a true WR3. Given, that we already pay around 30m for two WR i think it is unlikely we will pay a veteran FA. Luckily this WR class is pretty deep.
So i mainly looked for players that can win on the outside as i believe the slot belongs to Jarvis. However, there is still some slot guys on this list where i thought their traits were just too good not to list them.
Van Jefferson | Florida
Isaiah Hodgins | Oregon State
Tyler Johnson | Minnesota
KJ Hamler | Penn State
Devin Duvernay | Texas
John Hightower | Boise State
KJ Hill | Ohio State
Quintez Cephus | Wisconsin
Lynn Bowden | Kentucky
James Proche | SMU
Aaron Parker | Rhode Island
Aaron Fuller | Washington
The way i see it, we can either take one of those guys pretty high (2nd or early 3rd round) or later on (mid to late rounds). But this WR class may just be too talented to not take one at all. The truth is, we dont know how long OBJ and Jarvis both will be here, given their respective cap hits. Therefore i think it wouldnt be bad to have some back up plans in place . As i said, we need a WR3 anyways.
My nr1 option is Van Jefferson - yes, he is already 23 years old. But imo this isnt necessarily a problem because he plays like a 23 year old, if that makes sense. His route running and his release are great and he can be a starter day 1; i also think he would be a great compliment to Jarvis and OBJ.
Hodgins is very high on my board as well. I think he will go later in the draft (5th round range) and that could be a great value for us. Speaking of great value, Hightower will most likely also go later than he should - but he will most certainly a steal for whichever team drafts him. Plus, he would add some needed size to our receiving corps.
Proche, Parker and Fuller are all nice options in the later rounds - similar to Ratley, who i think has shown some nice progress so far.
So long story short, a receiving corps of OBJ, Jarvis, one of those guys, and Ratley as nr 4 would be a solid foundation. Plus, we also have DJ Montgomery coming back, who looked promising in the pre-season last year, so ill be excited to see what he can do.
Bowden is a gadget guy but could provide the return skills we desperately need. Lastly, i wanna talk about Tyler Johnson: i like him a lot as a player and i think he is very reminiscent of Higgins. However, from what ive heard there are some character concerns. I dont know about them, i just thought i should mention them.

TE

Our TE group currently consists of Njoku, who is coming off a god awful season, and Stephen Carlson, who showed some promise last year. I think he looked comfortable catching the ball and was a willing blocker - more importantly, he looked competent as an in-line blocker. So i am looking forward to his progress this year. Personally, i expect him to be an important part of our TE group.
The FA market really has only two big name options: Hunter Henry and Austin Hooper - and to make it sure, for different reasons, i really hope we dont sign either one. Other FA options could be veterans like Fells or Lance Kendricks.
The TE class isnt the best, imo, and i am concerned that because of this, guys will get vastly overdrafted (*cough* cole kmet *cough*). That being said, the profile i laid out for TE was a solid and reliable pass catcher that can also add something in terms of (in-line) blocking.
I did NOT look for pure blocking TE´s!
Adam Trautman | Daytona
Josiah Deguara | Cincinnati
Devin Asiasi | UCLA
Seon McKeon | Michigan
Colby Parkinson | Stanford
Cole Kmet | Notre Dame
Joey Magnifico | Memphis
This position group really is mostly ranked based on value for the respective expected draft position.
Adam Trautman is the closest thing to a complete TE in this class and he reminds me a lot of Mark Andrews - like Andrews i would be fine with taking him in the later 3rd round. But everything above that would be over-drafting, imo.
Asiasi and Deguara are two of my favorite TE prospects in this Class in terms of ability and expected draft position. Both are capable receivers and have all the tools to be effective blockers at the next level. Deguara is also a solid ST dynamo, that gives him the edge over Asiasi.
McKeon is basically your reliable TE3. He isnt a playmaker, but he also isnt a liability in terms of pass catching. His blocking is also solid; i believe theres someting to work with. In the 6th round (current expected draft position) that is definetely worth a thought.
Parkinson has an insane catch radius. But at this point he isnt that much more. He looks willing to block, but he needs a lot of work. If he is there as an UDFA i would like to bring him in and have him compete; he would be a PS candidate.
Now, theres probably going to be some questions why i have Kmet so low on my rankings. Theres 2 reasons for that: 1. i dont see anyting special in him 2. most importantly, value. He will most likely go higher than he should, and because of that, i just dont see what he would add to our team, that the other guys could add later in the draft. He reminds me of Austin Hooper - he made most of his yards underneath, isnt exactly a deep burner, and albeit not being the greatest at it, he also isnt a liability at blocking. So yeah, long story short, i think there definetely is some better options in the draft to be had.
Lastly Mckeon - he is pretty much only a projection at this point. But i like his tools and am intrigued. But like Parkinson, he would be a candidate to be brought in as an UDFA and compete in tc.
One player i want to mention is Cheyenne O´Grady: talentwise, he would be one of the top 3 TE this year, imo. BUT, he has a lot of red flags and comes with some big characater concerns. So, if dorsey was still here i wouldve bet we would take him in the 3rd, but with the new FO im not sure we will be willing to take flyers on character concern guys.
Another one to keep an eye on is Chase Claypool. Imo he would profit from making the switch to TE, especially in a weaker class like this. As a former receiver he is a reliable pass catcher, but he is also a physical blocker - he just has Darren Waller written all over him

OT

Our situation at OT can be summed up in one word: yikes!
Currently our starters are Lamm and .... Chris Hubbard * starts crying *
In all seriousness, obviously there is need at both OT spots. And it is more difficult to solve it, than many realise. Why? for starters, because the FA market for OT is bleak. As a reminder, prior to his pablo escobar impersonation, Greg Robinson was slated to be one of the top options on the market. The only really good option is Conklin, but that will make him extremely expensive - remember, DJ Humphries just signed an extension for 15m/yr. Conklin is a good player, no doubt, but i also have some reservations about his fit for a zone blocking scheme. He tore his ACL and has lost a step, imo.
Leaving the question, if you want to field two rookies at OT?
Austin Jackson | USC
Lucas Niang | TCU
Ben Bartch | St. Johns
Robert Hunt | Louisiana
Matt Peart | UConn
Ezra Cleveland | Boise State
Calvin Thockmorton | Oregon
Isaiah Wilson | Oregon
Saadiq Charles | LSU
Prince Tega Wanogho | Auburn
Tyre Phillips | Mississippt St.
Yasir Durant | Missouri
Scott Frantz | Kansas State
The good thing is from round 2 down to 4th round there is still borderline starting caliber level available with some nice developmental pieces available even later.
Austin Jackson (LT) and Lucas Niang (RT) are my options 1a and 1b in the second round. I think, if we decide to go OT in both round 1 and 2, the pick here will also depend on who we take in the 1st (LT or RT). Bartch comes from a smaller school, but he looked amazing at the senior bowl which was his basically his first time going against NFL level competition - so to look this good at your first try is more than encouraging.
Hunt, to me, is basically the Tristan Wirfs of the late 2nd/early 3rd round. He has the potential to be an all-pro player - on the outside or the inside. Peart is one of my favorite OT prospects - he is a gigantic human being with an insanely long wingspan (36 5/8"). He is also very mobile and should be a great fit for a zone blocking scheme.
Cleveland (914 snaps LT) and Thockmorton (739 snaps RT; 189 snaps C) are very reliable options with a ton of experience. Thockmorton would be very interesting, cause he could also serve as swing tackle as well as a backup C.
Wilson is a prospect im very split on. On one side he has great physical tools. on the other side im worried about his technique as well as his effort. also im not so sure about his fit for a zone blocking scheme...
Charles, Tega Wanogho, Phillips, Durant and Frantz are all more of projects at this point. worthy of a flyer, especially in the later rounds, but not ready to be a starter yet.

IOL

Really the only position in question is RG. Teller looked serviceable for most of the season, but i think if the value and fit is there in the mid/late rounds, we could also pull the trigger and solidify the entire interior of our OL. While yes, we also have Forbes, imo the main objective for him will be trying to even make the 53 roster. He has potential, but he still is such a big wildcard at this stage.
Jonah Jackson | Ohio State
Logan Sternberg | Kentucky
Nick Harris | Washington
Netane Muti | Fresno State
Damien Lewis | Lewis
Michael Onwenu | Michigan
Shane Lemieux | Oregon
Ben Bredeson | Michigan
Kevin Dotson | Louisiana
Tremayne Anchrum | Clemson
First off, let me just say, if it wasnt for his injury concerns Netane Muti would be the clear cut number one. Tho, admittedly he then wouldnt be on this list at all, cause he most definetely would be a first rounder.
That leaves Jonah Jackson as the nr 1 option for me. He would command a pretty high investment tho, given he has steadily climbed up draft boards over the past few weeks, so theres a good chance we see him drafted in the 2nd round.
Harris, is a C so i cheated a bit, but imo he has all the tools to play RG - his athleticism and strength would fit well with our zone scheme. Sternberg is just a mean sob. he plays with an attitude and bullies defensive linemen. Kentucky passed the ball very little, meaning he had few true pass sets - so thats a bit of a concern. But in the sets he had, he looked in control. Penalties (24 past two seasons) is a problem tho.
Lewis has some work to do in terms of pass pro, but he is a mover and a beast in the run game. I trust Callahan to be able to work out his weaknesses - if thats the case, he can be one of the better guards in the game.
Onwenu is a powerful man and can play in a phone booth. Lemieux has some big questions to answer about his pass pro. Bredeson is a very well refined pass protector, tho i have some questions about his fit in a zone scheme.
Dotson will have to make improvements in pass pro, but especially in the later rounds, i think he is worth a chance. At worst he is a serviceable run blocking G, but if he can make the improvements he could play a huge part for us going forward.
Anchrum is more of a project but late in the draft i wouldnt mind to take a flyer on him and see what he can do. He has the tools to be a starting G in the league tho.
All in all, IOL of course is one our smaller needs. But as i said in the intro, if the value and fit is there, why not take a guy you like?
Conclusion:
Especially along the OL there are some very good options for us there. The TE class, albeit overall not being very exciting, has some sneaky good players late in the draft as well.
So give me your thoughts - do you agree with this? Who did i miss you think should be mentioned?
submitted by OptimisticRealist__ to Browns [link] [comments]

2020 NFL draft rankings: Kiper's Big Board, with top 25 prospects and best 10 at every position

2020 NFL draft rankings: Kiper's Big Board, with top 25 prospects and best 10 at every position

We're now less than a month away from the 2020 NFL draft kicking off, and things have changed since the combine, which feels like it happened months ago. The coronavirus pandemic has ended all pre-draft visits for prospects, and the draft, which was supposed to be showcased in Las Vegas on April 23-25, is closed to the public.

With free agency largely in the rearview mirror, though, below is my post-combine Big Board for the 2020 NFL draft -- my top 25 prospects overall as it stands right now -- plus my list of the top 10 prospects at every position. You'll see quite a few changes here. You can also check out my Mock Draft 3.0. Here we go:

Jump to: Position rankings

1. Chase Young, DE, Ohio State
HT: 6-foot-4 | WT: 264 | Previously: 1

Young, who finished fourth in the Heisman Trophy voting, is a dominant pass-rusher whose 16.5 sacks broke the Buckeyes' single-season record. He had a phenomenal season and is the clear top prospect in the class. The NFL loves twitchy edge rushers who can get after quarterbacks, and that's Young. He caught my eye as a true freshman in 2017, and he really came on in 2018, picking up the production with Nick Bosa sidelined; Young finished with 9.5 sacks and 14.5 total tackles for loss that season.


2. Joe Burrow, QB, LSU
HT: 6-foot-3 | WT: 221 | Previously: 2

Burrow's final line in his Heisman-winning season: 60 touchdown passes with just six interceptions while completing 76.3% of his passes. Those are unreal numbers. Oh, and he led 15-0 LSU to a national title. I don't think there's any doubt now that he has cemented his spot as the top quarterback in this draft. Burrow's improvement was one of the greatest stories of the season after he started 2019 as a fringe NFL prospect. With a great release, much better accuracy at all levels of the field and enough athleticism to maneuver the pocket to evade rushers, Burrow reminds me of Tony Romo. Coaches rave about his leadership and toughness, too.


3. Jeff Okudah, CB, Ohio State
HT: 6-foot-1 | WT: 205 | Previously: 4

Credit Todd McShay here: He had Okudah at No. 4 overall in his preseason rankings. When I went back through the 2018 tape, I saw why Todd was so fired up. This is a potential top-five pick with a high ceiling based on talent alone. The problem? Okudah hadn't picked off a single pass in his first two seasons for the Buckeyes. He had three interceptions in 2019, though, including two picks in a blowout of Nebraska. While Young got all of the publicity for the Ohio State defense, Okudah is a true shutdown corner. His 41-inch vertical and 4.48 40-yard dash time at the combine showed his explosive traits.


4. Isaiah Simmons, OLB, Clemson
HT: 6-foot-3 | WT: 238 | Previously: 5

Simmons is a rare athlete with the frame of a linebacker and the athleticism and top-end speed of a safety. He showed his elite traits at the combine, running a 4.39 40-yard dash, the second-fastest 40 time for a linebacker at the combine since 2006. Simmons is exactly what NFL teams look for in three-down linebackers in today's game. He has the size and speed to run sideline to sideline to chase down tailbacks, and he has the athletic ability to cover tight ends in the slot. He could even flip his hips and play some safety. He had 104 tackles, seven sacks, three interceptions and 16 total tackles for loss this past season, and he was one of the best players on the field in the loss to LSU in the national championship game.


5. Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Alabama
HT: 6-foot-0 | WT: 217 | Previously: 3

Tagovailoa, who dislocated his right hip and suffered a posterior wall fracture in November, didn't work out at the combine, but he was supposed to throw for NFL coaches and scouts in April. That's up in the air now, in which case teams might not be able to see his progress from his injury before they use a valuable pick on him. Tagovailoa's injury history -- he dealt with ankle and knee injuries over the past two seasons -- will complicate how teams evaluate him, and while reports about his medicals have been good, each team will have its own report. As a player, Tagovailoa is a top-five talent with elite accuracy and all the physical and mental tools teams look for in a starter. But his injuries make him a wild card in this class.



6. Derrick Brown, DT, Auburn
HT: 6-foot-4 | WT: 326 | Previously: 6

I wrote about Brown early last season, when he had two sacks and a forced fumble in the Tigers' win at Texas A&M. He had another sack and a forced fumble -- plus two fumble recoveries -- in Auburn's loss at Florida. Brown took a leap in 2019, turning his traits into production, and that's what he needed to show. NFL teams want interior disruptors who can knock down quarterbacks, and Brown hasn't shown he can do that consistently just yet. He is still raw, but he has top-five talent in a massive frame.


7. Mekhi Becton, OT, Louisville
HT: 6-foot-7 | WT: 364 | Previously: 11

With long arms and a 6-foot-7 frame, Becton sticks out on tape, and he dominates at the point of attack, pushing aside pass-rushers but also showing tremendous feet for his size. He is rising after his junior season, once teams got a closer look at his tape. He showed off his athleticism at the combine, running a 5.10 40-yard dash at 364 pounds, which is a fantastic time. He could be a top-five pick.


8. Jedrick Wills, OT, Alabama
HT: 6-foot-3 | WT: 312 | Previously: 12

I had Crimson Tide left tackle Alex Leatherwood ranked higher than Wills throughout the season, but Leatherwood is headed back to school, and Wills declared for the draft. The right tackle is another rising lineman, as Wills is blessed with a great set of physical tools. He is a physical run-blocker who can shut down edge rushers or interior pressure in pass protection. Wills is another possibility as the top tackle off the board.


9. Jerry Jeudy, WR, Alabama
HT: 6-foot-1 | WT: 192 | Previously: 7

Jeudy is a special talent, a true No. 1 receiver the minute he gets drafted. Just watch him run past the Arkansas secondary for one of his two touchdowns in that game. He is unguardable at the college level. He finished the season with 77 catches for 1,163 yards and 10 touchdowns. I said in May that he is the most talented receiver to enter the NFL since the duo of Julio Jones and A.J. Green went in Round 1 in 2011. The Biletnikoff Award winner can run every route and has elite ball skills, and he blazed by SEC defensive backs every week.


10. Justin Herbert, QB, Oregon
HT: 6-foot-6 | WT: 236 | Previously: 9

Herbert is a maddening evaluation, though overall he showed improved accuracy and better decision-making this season. He can have games in which he looks rattled (he threw two fourth-quarter interceptions in the Ducks' loss to Arizona State), but he also can take over games through his talent. As I wrote last May, he just looks like a potential No. 1 pick -- great size, a powerful arm to make every throw, limited interceptions, good athleticism. Yet, he took a step back in consistency in 2018, and that's why I thought he made a good decision to return to Oregon for his senior season. Herbert had 32 touchdown passes and five interceptions in 2019, and he showed off his athleticism with three touchdown runs in a Rose Bowl win over Wisconsin. Because of his physical tools, there will be teams that love him. But there also will be teams that stay away from him because of his inconsistent play.


11. Tristan Wirfs, OT, Iowa
HT: 6-foot-4 | WT: 320 | Previously: 15

Left tackle, right tackle -- it really doesn't matter anymore. NFL teams aren't differentiating between the value of the two positions. Teams just want good tackles, period. Wirfs, a former high school wrestling champion, plays right tackle for the Hawkeyes -- though he has had a few series on the left side -- and he just mauls defenders. Dominates them. He has incredible strength and power -- check out this video -- and he also can move his feet. At the combine, Wirfs put up a 36.5-inch vertical and ran a 4.85 40-yard dash, the fastest time by a 320-plus-pound player since at least 2006.


12. CeeDee Lamb, WR, Oklahoma
HT: 6-foot-1 | WT: 193 | Previously: 8

Lamb showed how special he can be in the Sooners' win over Texas in October, catching 10 passes for 171 yards and three touchdowns. But you should really watch the highlights, because the overall numbers don't quite capture his dominance. He had 65 catches for 1,158 yards and 11 touchdowns in 2018, and that was as the Sooners' No. 2 target. With Marquise Brown off to the NFL, Lamb was the top target for Jalen Hurts last season, averaging 21.4 yards per catch with 14 touchdowns. Lamb is an advanced route runner, has outstanding hands and can get open against any defender. He doesn't have elite speed -- he ran a 4.50 at the combine -- but he can beat cornerbacks in several different ways.


13. Henry Ruggs III, WR, Alabama
HT: 5-foot-11 | WT: 188 | Previously: 20

As the Crimson Tide's No. 2 receiver, Ruggs' game is all about speed, though he improved as a route runner in 2018, when he had 46 catches for 741 yards and 11 touchdowns. He averaged 18.6 yards per catch last season, and he had seven touchdowns, though he didn't get much target volume in a stacked Bama offense. Check out this route on a 74-yard TD catch on which he almost outruns the throw. I predicted he'd be the fastest prospect at the combine, and he proved that with a 4.27 40-yard dash.


14. Javon Kinlaw, DT, South Carolina
HT: 6-foot-5 | WT: 324 | Previously: 10

With a massive frame and great athleticism for his size, Kinlaw is physically gifted. And we know NFL teams are looking for interior pass-rushers, which is what Kinlaw can provide. After putting up 4.5 sacks in 2018, he had six last season. And he is getting to quarterbacks with quickness and power. Kinlaw moves really well for his size, and he can eat up blockers in the running game. He was really good at the Senior Bowl in January.


15. Jordan Love, QB, Utah State
HT: 6-foot-4 | WT: 224 | Previously: NR

So McShay and I have a pre-draft bet on the books -- $5,000 to the Jimmy V Foundation -- on whether Herbert or Love will be picked first. I have Herbert, McShay has Love. That we're even having this conversation shows how far Love has come and what NFL scouts think of him. Let's start with the bad: 20 touchdown passes, 17 interceptions last season. But realize Love lost his top five pass-catchers from his breakout 2018 season (32 TDs, six INTs). He also had a new coaching staff. It was a struggle. The good? Just turn on the tape from the 2018 season, with Love displaying stellar traits in a 6-foot-4 frame. He also had a good week at the Senior Bowl, showing teams that he belonged. Still, Love is raw, and that's why whichever team picks him -- and it's likely to be in the top 25 picks -- needs to take its time with him and let him keep developing. He has a high ceiling.

Is Jordan Love worth a top-ten pick?Dan Orlovsky is high on QB Jordan Love, who is now projected No. 6 in Todd McShay's latest mock draft.

16. K'Lavon Chaisson, OLB, LSU
HT: 6-foot-3 | WT: 254 | Previously: 21

Every year, teams covet edge rushers with projectable traits, even if they don't always produce huge numbers. That's Chaisson, who had just 6.5 sacks this past season, only 3.5 of which came in the regular season. Those high-ceiling edge rushers don't always go in the first round, of course, but you can see on tape why a team might love Chaisson's potential. He starred in the Tigers' win over Oklahoma in the College Football Playoff, picking up two sacks. It's fair to say there is risk involved; Chaisson missed most of the 2018 season with a knee injury, and he finished his LSU career with just 9.5 sacks. Again, though, this is all about upside, and this isn't a great class for elite edge rushers after Chase Young.


17. D'Andre Swift, RB, Georgia
HT: 5-foot-8 | WT: 212 | Previously: 16

Just watch Swift on this 48-yard screen. He runs through and by defenders, showing off what has scouts so excited about his potential. It starts with speed, and Swift's 4.48 at the combine was a great time for him. He also has a physical side, and he makes tacklers miss. After running for 1,049 yards as part of a rotation in 2018, Swift was the Bulldogs' clear No. 1 back this past season. He averaged 6.2 yards per carry, with eight total touchdowns. He caught 32 passes in 2018, so he is already a third-down threat. That versatility will be important for his future.


18. Andrew Thomas, OT, Georgia
HT: 6-foot-5 | WT: 315 | Previously: NR

There have been some mixed opinions about Thomas over the past year, but I'm going to trust the tape. The left tackle, who started on the right side as a true freshman in 2017, is great in pass protection, showing off tremendous footwork, strong hands and excellent technique. He stones pass-rushers. And while the three-year starter tested so-so athletically at the combine, I've heard good things about Thomas' interviews with teams. This a really strong tackle class at the top.


19. CJ Henderson, CB, Florida
HT: 6-foot | WT: 204 | Previously: 18

Henderson dealt with an ankle injury this past season, sitting out a few games. He returned for the two tough matchups with Auburn and LSU, and he had three pass breakups in each of those games. Henderson is a lockdown cover corner who needs to improve on the little things to make his all-around game better. With six interceptions combined in 2017 and 2018, Henderson has tremendous ball skills, and he has the athletic traits to be a No. 1 corner in the NFL. His 4.39 40-yard dash at the combine was an outstanding time, locking in his status as the No. 2 corner in this class.


20. Tee Higgins, WR, Clemson
HT: 6-foot-3 | WT: 216 | Previously: 23

It's the size that sticks out with Higgins: He has a huge frame to create mismatches. But he also is a better-than-expected route runner, and he helped stretch the field for quarterback Trevor Lawrence. He can box out smaller cornerbacks in the red zone, and he can high-point the ball on sideline throws. Check out this catch-and-run from two seasons ago. Higgins was a touchdown machine in 2018, scoring 12 times on 59 catches. And he averaged 19.8 yards per catch on his 59 receptions last season, with 13 TDs, including three apiece against Wake Forest and in the ACC title game against Virginia.


21. Patrick Queen, ILB, LSU
HT: 6-foot | WT: 229 | Previously: 17

The more I watched LSU's defense last season, the more I liked Queen. He just constantly showed up on the film, making sure tackles and penetrating into the backfield. And he was great in the Tigers' two College Football Playoff games, with four tackles for loss and 16 total tackles. Queen is a run-and-hit middle linebacker who has some coverage skills, though he can still improve there. He'll be an instant starter as a rookie.


22. Justin Jefferson, WR, LSU
HT: 6-foot-1 | WT: 202 | Previously: NR

I picked Jefferson as my top riser from the first day of the combine, as the wideout ran a 4.43 40-yard dash and blew away my expectations. He has a chance to be a top-15 pick now. Jefferson broke out last season, catching 111 passes for 1,540 yards and 18 touchdowns in a devastating LSU passing attack. He also led the FBS in total catches and first-down receptions (66) last season. That was after just 54 catches -- and seven drops -- in 2018. He's a really good player who could play out wide or in the slot.

23. Kenneth Murray, ILB, Oklahoma
HT: 6-foot-2 | WT: 241 | Previously: 19

Murray is a chiseled specimen with great athleticism for his size. Murray can be a little stiff in coverage, but he has excellent diagnostic ability, and he flies to the football. I think he will improve in space with more reps; he was asked to be a tackling machine for the Sooners, who didn't have a ton of other defensive studs. Murray also showed that he can blitz, as he had 8.5 sacks over the past two seasons. He could be a linebacker in a 3-4 or 4-3 defense.

24. Antoine Winfield Jr., S, Minnesota
HT: 5-foot-9 | WT: 203 | Previously: NR

Winfield is small, but he is a true ball hawk who had seven interceptions last season. As I mentioned in my Mock Draft 2.0, interceptions can be misleading as a projection tool for prospects, but he also had 88 tackles, three sacks and two forced fumbles for the Golden Gophers. Apart from his small stature, Winfield also has a checkered injury history, as hamstring and foot injuries prematurely ended his 2017 and 2018 seasons. Still, the talent is too hard to ignore, and he's my new No. 1 safety in this class.

25. Cesar Ruiz, C, Michigan
HT: 6-foot-2 | WT: 307 | Previously: 24

I really like Ruiz's 2019 film, and I have a higher grade on him now than I did last year on Garrett Bradbury, the 2019 draft class' top center. Ruiz can play guard -- he started five games there for the Wolverines -- and that's why his value is so high. NFL teams love versatile interior linemen, and I could see a team drafting him to play guard.


Top 10 prospects at each position
An asterisk denotes the prospect is an underclassman:

Quarterbacks
  1. Joe Burrow, LSU
  2. *Tua Tagovailoa, Alabama
  3. Justin Herbert, Oregon
  4. *Jordan Love, Utah State
  5. *Jacob Eason, Washington
  6. Jalen Hurts, Oklahoma
  7. *Jake Fromm, Georgia
  8. Steven Montez, Colorado
  9. James Morgan, Florida International
  10. Nate Stanley, Iowa

Running backs
  1. *D'Andre Swift, Georgia
  2. *J.K. Dobbins, Ohio State
  3. *Jonathan Taylor, Wisconsin
  4. *Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU
  5. Zack Moss, Utah
  6. *Cam Akers, Florida State
  7. *AJ Dillon, Boston College
  8. Joshua Kelley, UCLA
  9. Ke'Shawn Vaughn, Vanderbilt
  10. *Darrynton Evans, Appalachian State

play
1:33
RB D'Andre Swift's most memorable moments at GeorgiaD'Andre Swift was a feature back in a crowded backfield at Georgia and takes his game to the NFL.
Wide receivers
  1. *Jerry Jeudy, Alabama
  2. *CeeDee Lamb, Oklahoma
  3. *Henry Ruggs III, Alabama
  4. *Tee Higgins, Clemson
  5. *Justin Jefferson, LSU
  6. Denzel Mims, Baylor
  7. Michael Pittman Jr., USC
  8. *Laviska Shenault Jr., Colorado
  9. Brandon Aiyuk, Arizona State
  10. Chase Claypool, Notre Dame

Tight ends
  1. *Cole Kmet, Notre Dame
  2. Harrison Bryant, Florida Atlantic
  3. *Albert Okwuegbunam, Missouri
  4. *Hunter Bryant, Washington
  5. Adam Trautman, Dayton
  6. *Dalton Keene, Virginia Tech
  7. *Devin Asiasi, UCLA
  8. Jared Pinkney, Vanderbilt
  9. *Colby Parkinson, Stanford
  10. Brycen Hopkins, Purdue

Offensive tackles
  1. *Mekhi Becton, Louisville
  2. *Jedrick Wills Jr., Alabama
  3. *Tristan Wirfs, Iowa
  4. *Andrew Thomas, Georgia
  5. Josh Jones, Houston
  6. *Ezra Cleveland, Boise State
  7. *Austin Jackson, USC
  8. *Isaiah Wilson, Georgia
  9. Matt Peart, Connecticut
  10. Tyre Phillips, Mississippi State

Guards
  1. Ben Bredeson, Michigan
  2. Robert Hunt, Louisiana-Lafayette
  3. Logan Stenberg, Kentucky
  4. Damien Lewis, LSU
  5. John Simpson, Clemson
  6. Jonah Jackson, Ohio State
  7. *Netane Muti, Fresno State
  8. *Solomon Kindley, Georgia
  9. Tremayne Anchrum, Clemson
  10. Shane Lemieux, Oregon

First Draft Podcast

Mel Kiper, Todd McShay and Chris Sprow preview the 2020 NFL draft.
• First Draft podcast »

Centers
  1. *Cesar Ruiz, Michigan
  2. *Tyler Biadasz, Wisconsin
  3. *Lloyd Cushenberry III, LSU
  4. *Matt Hennessy, Temple
  5. Nick Harris, Washington
  6. *Keith Ismael, San Diego State
  7. Darryl Williams, Mississippi State
  8. Trystan Colon-Castillo, Missouri
  9. Jake Hanson, Oregon
  10. Cohl Cabral, Arizona State

Defensive ends
  1. *Chase Young, Ohio State
  2. *A.J. Epenesa, Iowa
  3. *Yetur Gross-Matos, Penn State
  4. Marlon Davidson, Auburn
  5. Bradlee Anae, Utah
  6. Alex Highsmith, Charlotte
  7. Jason Strowbridge, North Carolina
  8. Jonathan Greenard, Florida
  9. Alton Robinson, Syracuse
  10. Jabari Zuniga, Florida

Defensive tackles
  1. Derrick Brown, Auburn
  2. Javon Kinlaw, DT, South Carolina
  3. *Justin Madubuike, Texas A&M
  4. Neville Gallimore, Oklahoma
  5. *Ross Blacklock, TCU
  6. *Jordan Elliott, Missouri
  7. Davon Hamilton, Ohio State
  8. *James Lynch, Baylor
  9. McTelvin Agim, Arkansas
  10. Raekwon Davis, Alabama

Inside linebackers
  1. *Patrick Queen, LSU
  2. *Kenneth Murray, Oklahoma
  3. Jordyn Brooks, Texas Tech
  4. *Jacob Phillips, LSU
  5. Troy Dye, Oregon
  6. Malik Harrison, Ohio State
  7. Logan Wilson, Wyoming
  8. Evan Weaver, California
  9. Kamal Martin, Minnesota
  10. Markus Bailey, Purdue

Outside linebackers
  1. *Isaiah Simmons, Clemson
  2. *K'Lavon Chaisson, LSU
  3. Zack Baun, Wisconsin
  4. *Terrell Lewis, Alabama
  5. Julian Okwara, Notre Dame
  6. Josh Uche, Michigan
  7. Akeem Davis-Gaither, Appalachian State
  8. *Curtis Weaver, Boise State
  9. Anfernee Jennings, Alabama
  10. *Willie Gay Jr., Mississippi State

play
1:45
What should the Giants do with the 4th pick?Todd McShay explains why the Giants can either potentially take LB Isaiah Simmons or move back in the draft to try and snag an offensive tackle.
Cornerbacks
  1. *Jeff Okudah, Ohio State
  2. *C.J. Henderson, Florida
  3. *Noah Igbinoghene, Auburn
  4. *Jaylon Johnson, Utah
  5. Jeff Gladney, TCU
  6. Trevon Diggs, Alabama
  7. Kristian Fulton, LSU
  8. *A.J. Terrell, Clemson
  9. Damon Arnette, Ohio State
  10. Troy Pride Jr., Notre Dame

Safeties
  1. *Antoine Winfield Jr., Minnesota
  2. *Xavier McKinney, Alabama
  3. *Grant Delpit, LSU
  4. Kyle Dugger, Lenoir-Rhyne
  5. Ashtyn Davis, California
  6. Jeremy Chinn, So. Illinois
  7. Brandon Jones, Texas
  8. Julian Blackmon, Utah
  9. Terrell Burgess, Utah
  10. Tanner Muse, Clemson

Punters and Kickers
  1. Braden Mann, Texas A&M (P)
  2. Joseph Charlton, South Carolina (P)
  3. Alex Pechin, Bucknell (P)
  4. *Michael Turk, Arizona State (P)
  5. Tyler Bass, Georgia Southern (K)
  6. Sterling Hofrichter, Syracuse (P)
  7. Rodrigo Blankenship, Georgia (K)
  8. Tommy Townsend, Florida (P)
  9. *Arryn Siposs, Auburn (P)
  10. Austin Parker, Duke (P)

Long-snappers
  1. Blake Ferguson, LSU
  2. Steve Wirtel, Iowa State
  3. Rex Sunahara, West Virginia
  4. A.J. Carty, Washington
  5. Matt Beardall, Marshall
submitted by BirdmanPB to ESPN [link] [comments]

S02G03 at Oregon - Fresno State Coronavirus Dynasty - NCAA Football 07 - Heisman

Fresno State Bulldogs at Boise State Broncos Overview. Fresno State Bulldogs . The Bulldogs come into this contest on a two-game winning streak that allowed the Bulldogs to assert their will as the team to beat in California in the Mountain West earning back-to-back wins against both San Diego State and San Jose State. What: Fresno State Bulldogs vs. #4 Oregon Ducks NCAA Football When: 6:30 pm EST. Saturday. September 8, 2012 Where: Autzen Stadium. Eugene, Oregon. The fast scoring #4 Oregon Ducks (1-0, 0-1 ATS) are big-time favorites heading into their match up this week against the Fresno State Bulldogs (1-0, 1-0 ATS). The Fresno St. is clearly outclassed by the rapid fire Ducks, but are they outclassed by ... On the flipside, you might see a 4.5 point line, and then you would expect a larger potential profit by backing Georgia +4.5 in these NCAA betting lines. College Football Totals Betting Oregon vs. USC Prediction: Betting Line, Odds & Pick. ... Since starting QB JT Daniels went down with an injury in the season opener against Fresno State, Slovis has filled the void, ... College Football Week 12 Betting Trends for Fresno vs San Diego State. Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass; Fresno State is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game; The total went OVER in 5 of Fresno State’s last 5 games

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S02G03 at Oregon - Fresno State Coronavirus Dynasty - NCAA Football 07 - Heisman

S06G04 at Oregon State - #21 Fresno State Coronavirus Dynasty - NCAA Football 07 ... 1 Minute Left and National Championship on the Line - NCAA Football 14 Ohio State vs. Alabama - Duration: 7:12.

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